Vulnerability of water resource management to climate change: Application to a Pyrenean valley

نویسندگان

چکیده

The Aure Valley in the French Pyrenees. This study applies a bottom-up framework for assessing water management vulnerability terms of hydropower production, environmental regulations, and reservoir storage by integrating sensitivity, metrics with participation stakeholders, exposure system. hydrological model GR6J-CEMANEIGE is implemented to simulate region. sensitivity climate change investigated comparing simulation results under current conditions perturbed series. Results are demonstrated response surfaces, which overlaid predefined thresholds metrics. help identifying that critical management. Plausible pathways displayed on surfaces assess probability conditions. show annual production mostly vulnerable future drier Environmental sensitive both precipitation temperature changes while policy render low-flow less susceptible risks. Reservoir found be extremely increase induces an earlier snowmelt. Although downstream use even high greenhouse gases emissions scenario, more intense competition among stakeholders could foreseen. Corresponding adaptation actions proposed reduce vulnerability.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['2214-5818']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2022.101241